Monday, January 30, 2012

CNN Shooting Documentary With ACREC Tomorrow

On Tuesday, January 31st, CNN will be visiting with the Alachua County Republican Party, all day, shooting a documentary on Florida's election laws. The documentary will air on CNN in June.

If you feel like coming down to the Republican Party headquarters and hanging out with us, we will be making phone calls, getting reports back from poll watchers, holding signs on street corners and answering voters questions.

We do need phone callers tomorrow for Get Out The Vote calls. Please give us a call at 352-373-8500 or come on down to HQ at 1722 NW 80th Blvd, Suite 90 in Gainesville.

We will have breakfast, in the morning and lunch. Tomorrow evening, we will be watching City of Gainesville and Florida Primary results at HQ. Please joing us for that, too!

If you have any questions about election day, please don't hesitate to call us at 352-373-8500.
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Friday, January 27, 2012

Wanted: Political memorabilia tcot ronpaul fldebate GOP tweetthepress gop2012 p2 ronpaul2012 FLprimary
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Book I'm Reading: Ascent of Money by Niall Ferguson

Book Description
Publication Date: October 27, 2009
A richly original look at the origins of money and how it makes the world go 'round

Niall Ferguson follows the money to tell the human story behind the evolution of our financial system, from its genesis in ancient Mesopotamia to the latest upheavals on what he calls Planet Finance. What's more, Ferguson reveals financial history as the essential backstory behind all history, arguing that the evolution of credit and debt was as important as any technological innovation in the rise of civilization. As Ferguson traces the crisis from ancient Egypt's Memphis to today's Chongqing, he offers bold and compelling new insights into the rise- and fall-of not just money but Western power as well.

Read 78 pages last night couldn't put it down. Great read.

Saturday, January 21, 2012

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Come and join @MQTodd, @Twylah and me for ToolsChat right now. We are talking @empireavenue! Questions here:
The Book On Mitt Romney: Here Is John McCain's Entire Opposition Research File

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Political reality seems to have hit Huntsman as he drops out of race

GOP debate schedule this week.

January 16, 2012

9pm ET on Fox News
Location: Myrtle Beach Convention Center in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina
Sponsor: Fox News and the South Carolina Republican Party
Participants: Romney, Perry, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman, Paul

January 19, 2012

8pm ET on CNN
Location: Charleston, SC
Sponsor: CNN and the Southern Republican Leadership Conference
Participants: Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman, Paul, Perry*

Todd Klimson
The Klimson Group

Love this website: Twitter strategies for your political campaign

Ran across another fantastic Political data mining site for campaigns called Anyone running for office must implement a social media strategy.

From the website:

Twitter for the 2012 Election: Tolls, Metrics, and strategy.

The simplest way to get started is to call or email to schedule a free initial consultation. This generally lasts from 20 to 40 minutes, after which we will deliver a detailed proposal for the work that seems best suited to your needs.

Call Zach at (650) 644-6688

Email Zach at

Follow Zach on @140elect

Zach works on social media and politics, building targeted campaigns through Twitter that engage supporters, create communities, and organize fundraising. He handles user-interface, including web design and product development.

Call Adam at (781) 879-2960

Email Adam at

This can be an effect tool even while performing opposition research. Not only can you dig something up on what a candidate has said but what others are saying about the candidate. You can also pick up trends regarding the candidate as to what is important to the voter. Seriously check oout you may be sorry if you don't.

Todd Klimson

Follow Adam on @2012twit

Learn More at 140dev Consulting

Adam has been working with computers since the start of the personal computer era in 1979. Over the past 30 years he has done just about everything you can do with software: writing code, retail and mail order sales, writing and self-publishing books, writing magazine columns, teaching seminars, building websites during the dot com and Web 2.0, and consulting to small businesses and Fortune 500 companies on all aspects of software development.

Adam lives in the Boston area, and is available for regular meetings in this region during the course of a development project, although all coding work will be done on a telecommuting project. Zach tends to be more migratory, and can often meet in New York or Washington D.C. Outside of this area all communication will be done through phone and email.

Saturday, January 14, 2012

The 2012 presidential campaign in one chart

Posted by Chris Cillizzaat 02:30 PM ET, 01/09/2012

Since the Ames Straw poll in August, the Republican race has been defined by two things: the relatively low vote ceiling of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and the rises and falls of a variety of conservative alternatives to him.

The chart below — provided by our friends at TargetPoint Consulting, a Republican media firm — tells the story. It’s a look at the total number of mentions — via television, blogs, radio etc — of each of the candidates from Aug. 15 on. Notice Romney’s steadiness and the peaks and valleys of everyone vying to be the not-Romney in the contest

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Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Saturday, January 7, 2012

So, What's Your Algorithm? via @WSJ
Love this website: Electnext. The eharmony of po...

Love this website: Electnext. The eharmony of politics.

I just found this cool website that matches your hot political buttons to politicians. I have been throwing this idea around for years. I even wrote a paper about this when I was studying Political Science at the University of Florida. It's called Elect next and can be accessed here:

Elect Next

Check it out. What I would like to propose is data mining at the local level and matching constituents with politicians and judges at the local level. The electorate has got to become more educated when it comes to local politics especially at the judicial level. These judges are running amuck and that can be directly related to voter apathy. Have we become political "bots"?

Todd Klimson
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Friday, January 6, 2012

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It's Tebow time at Gator Beefs this Sunday @ 4pm: Home of the Broncos in Gainesville. http://​​01/​its-tebow-time-at-gator-beefs-t​his.html

Thursday, January 5, 2012

Check out this Amazon deal: 'Mining the Social Web: Analyzing Data from Facebo...' by Matthew A. Russell

Book recommendation: Too Big to Know: Rethinking Knowledge Now That the Facts Aren't the Facts, Experts Are Everywhere

Book Description
Publication Date: January 3, 2012
We used to know how to know. We got our answers from books or experts. We’d nail down the facts and move on. But in the Internet age, knowledge has moved onto networks. There’s more knowledge than ever, of course, but it’s different. Topics have no boundaries, and nobody agrees on anything.
Yet this is the greatest time in history to be a knowledge seeker . . . if you know how. In Too Big to Know, Internet philosopher David Weinberger shows how business, science, education, and the government are learning to use networked knowledge to understand more than ever and to make smarter decisions than they could when they had to rely on mere books and experts.

This groundbreaking book shakes the foundations of our concept of knowledge—from the role of facts to the value of books and the authority of experts—providing a compelling vision of the future of knowledge in a connected world.

Read it Now!!

Google Launches New Site With Resources for the 2012 Presidential Election

By: Sarah Kessler

Google will officially announce its online information hub for political elections on Monday, a day before the Iowa Caucuses. It is the first website Google has dedicated exclusively to elections.

The new website has both Egyptian and U.S. editions. Google will post content from the later version on a large screens throughout the Media Filing Center at the Iowa Caucuses on Tuesday.

That information includes news articles sorted by candidate and issue, links to voter resources such as the political calendar and YouTube politics channel and a trends dashboard that shows search trends, news mentions and YouTube views for each candidate.

“As Nov. 6, 2012, draws closer, the site will evolve into a robust election hub where citizens can watch, learn, discuss, participate — and perhaps even make an impact on — the digital campaign trail as it blazes forward to the election of the next President of the United States,” a Google spokesperson wrote in a statement to Mashable.

Google’s offline presence in Iowa will extend beyond its display of its online resources. From a sponsored section of the Filing Center, it will conduct live hangouts with journalists who are covering the 2012 elections. The company is also serving them food from local restaurants.

Surrounded by media and politics, Google will be quite at home at the Filing Center. According to Pew, the company is the biggest driver of traffic to top news sites. It’s also taken steps toward becoming not just a referrer, but a destination for political information with campaign tools, a dedicated YouTube channel and virtual town halls.

Will you be heading to Google’s new election site to learn about candidates in the 2012 election, or will you navigate directly to more traditional sources?

First time political candidate checklist – BEFORE announcing

Great article about running for office from Alex Pattons Blog:

Click Here for article

Sunday, January 1, 2012

Romney leads Paul in new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll; Santorum surges

The Des Moines Register’s latest Iowa Poll shows a surprise three-way match-up in contention to win the Iowa Republican caucuses: Mitt Romney, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum.

Santorum, who has been largely invisible in the polls throughout the campaign season, is now beating the other evangelical choices and has a clear shot at victory Tuesday night.

But political analysts note there’s little time for Santorum to cash in and regroup before New Hampshire, where voters weigh in nine days from now, while Romney is positioned to replicate what he’s done in Iowa in all the early states.

In four days of polling, Romney leads at 24 percent, Paul has 22 percent and Rick Santorum, 15 percent.

But if the final two days of polling stand alone, the order reshuffles: Santorum elbows out Paul for second.

“Few saw this bombshell coming,” GOP strategist David Polyansky said. “In an already unpredictable race this is another stunning turn of political fortune.”

What makes Santorum’s growth spurt particularly striking is his last-second rise: He averaged 10 points after the first two nights of polling, but doubled that during the second two nights. Looking just at the final day of polling, he was just one point down from Romney’s 23 percent on Friday.

Paul has marched higher in every Iowa Poll, but his momentum may have stalled last week. His support eroded from 29 percent on the first day of polling to 16 percent the last.

As for the rest of the field, over the four days of polling, Newt Gingrich is at 12 percent, Rick Perry, 11 percent, and Michele Bachmann, 7 percent. Their support remained relatively steady over the four days.

But in the month since the Register’s last poll, in late November, and in the 31 days since Gingrich boldly said in Iowa, “I’m going to be the nominee,” he has experienced a screeching double-digit drop.

Perry climbs 5 points since the last poll, but is stuck in fifth place. Bachmann falls 1 point, leaving her in a very poor position, said the Register’s pollster, J. Ann Selzer.

The final Iowa Poll before the caucuses is seen as a bellwether for Tuesday night’s first-in-the-nation voting. Still, the race is fluid, as 41 percent have a first choice but said they could still be persuaded to support another candidate. Fifty-one percent said their minds are made up.

The poll, conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, was based on telephone interviews with 602 likely Republican caucusgoers Dec. 27-30. The margin of error for the full four days is plus or minus 4 percentage points. For the last two days, 302 likely GOP caucusgoers were surveyed, and the margin of error is plus or minus 5.6 percentage points.

There’s so much volatility in Iowa that the numbers could change in a snap, said GOP strategist Mike Murphy of California, who has advised presidential candidates Lamar Alexander in 1995 and John McCain in 2000 but is currently unaligned with any campaign.

“Polling is a nightmare right now,” he said.

Santorum benefits as others drop

What happened to give Santorum a lift?

The collapse of the bottom half of the field fueled Santorum’s surge, said Charlie Cook, founder of the Cook Political Report.

“He has become the remainder man,” Cook said.

Undecideds decided to decide, and Santorum was the fresh choice. He hasn’t endured the media scrutiny into his record and whomping from negative advertising like others who made flash-in-the pan ascendancies, analysts said.

On Wednesday, the minute a Time/CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll came out showing Santorum in third with 16 percent, it was off to the races for him, said Republican strategist David Polyansky of New York, who worked for Mike Huckabee’s campaign four years ago and for Bachmann’s 2012 campaign until September. He is currently unaligned.

That poll gave Santorum enough validation that the public could accept his candidacy.

“It is kind of interesting to see that, by pure luck and timing, in what many have dubbed the ‘Fox Primary,’ that it might actually be CNN as the network that had the biggest impact and influence on the Iowa caucus,” Polyansky said.

In the new poll, 76 percent of Santorum supporters say they will definitely caucus rather than probably attend, a higher proportion than for any other candidate. For Romney, 58 percent of his supporters are definite attenders; it’s 56 percent for Paul.

Santorum tackled Iowa the old-fashioned way, virtually living in the back seat of a car and crisscrossing the state. He has spent more than 100 days campaigning in Iowa since the last presidential election, leading the field on that measure. He slipped into every county when few were watching, and captured influential endorsements late in the game.

But Santorum’s organization in Iowa is somewhat suspect because he hasn’t had much money to put behind it, analysts said. It’s the opposite for Romney and Paul, who have drawn far bigger crowds in recent days.

Romney regains lead; flat over week

Romney held steady all week, starting at 22 percent Tuesday and ending at 23 percent Friday. But over the last month, the former Massachusetts governor has climbed 8 points, regaining the front-runner status he held in the June Iowa Poll.

Likely GOP caucusgoers still believe Romney is most electable, the new poll shows. He also wins the “best able to bring about real change” category. And 78 percent would be very enthusiastic or OK with the choice if he were the nominee, the highest enthusiasm of the three candidates tested.

Poll respondent Michele Pratt, 55, of Cedar Rapids, thinks that Romney projects competence and confidence and that he should appeal to political independents. She supported him four years ago, and doesn’t hesitate to do it again.

“He’s everything we want in a president right now,” said Pratt, who sells dietary supplements.

Where Romney places in the caucuses may prove less important than where his rivals land, Polyansky said. Santorum and Paul would be much easier to dispose of in South Carolina and Florida than the more dangerous Perry and Gingrich, he said.

Vulnerabilities appear for Paul

More Iowans have gravitated Paul’s way over the last month: He climbs 4 percentage points since the Register’s last poll in late November.

But the Texas congressman’s negatives have increased in Iowa over the last few weeks.

The libertarian-leaning Paul’s vulnerability: 21 percent say he’s the candidate they like least, just 2 points behind Gingrich at 23 percent. Bachmann, who led on this measure in the past, claims 14 percent.

When it comes to positive attributes, Paul gets first place for five of nine: most likely to dramatically reduce spending on war and foreign aid, most concerned about limiting the influence of government and reducing government debt, most consistent and least ego driven.

Paul, regardless of where he falls, is likely to stay in the race, Polyansky said. It may be tough to replicate the power he’s seeing in Iowa in New Hampshire, but he could do well in states like South Carolina and Florida, he said.

See full top-line results

How the poll was conducted:

Des Moines Register

7:00 PM, Dec 31, 2011

Categories: Caucus Insider

The Iowa Poll, conducted Dec. 27-30 for The Des Moines Register by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on interviews with 2,527 registered Republican and independent voters in Iowa ages 18 or older, of which 602 said they would definitely or probably participate in the January 2012 Republican caucus.

Interviewers contacted individuals randomly selected from the Iowa voter registration list by telephone, stratifying contact by age and sex. The full sample of 2,527 respondents was adjusted for age and sex based on distribution among active Republican and no party registered voters. Questions asked of the 602
likely Republican caucusgoers have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points. Results based on smaller samples of respondents—such as by gender or age—have a larger margin of error. For responses based on the 302 likely Republican caucusgoers who were contacted on the final two nights of
polling, the margin of error is plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register is prohibited.
New Book: 'Statistical and Machine-Learning Data Mining: Tec...' by Bruce Ratner via @amazon


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